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Global HeavyLift Cites 'Absolute Need' For C-17-Based Supply Chain Augmentation
Jun 25, 2009
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- As an addendum to its May 28, 2009 press releases, Global HeavyLift Holdings, LLC, a Florida incorporated and Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) listed (www.ccr.gov) entity with principal offices in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan, has announced a new emphasizing of plans to permanently augment the U.S. global supply chain with air as a transportation methodology.
The strategy would involve utilizing both heavylift (commercial C-17) and standard lift aircraft (747-8F). Current projections suggest at least 300 aircraft in initial phases.
"Sword of Damocles"
"China's and South Korea's virtual control of ocean-borne shipping, along with China's rise as a blue water naval power capable of interrupting critical east-west ship transit lanes at will, signals an absolute need to neutralize a veritable 'Sword of Damocles' over the U.S. industrial base global supply chain," says Myron D. Stokes, Managing Member.
"During the case study development phase for a U.S./NATO-controlled Heavy and Outsized air cargo industry using commercial variants of Boeing's C-17 Globemaster III, we worked with global logistics executives at major industrial firms to warn of this emergent danger to their global supply chains. As one would expect, their focus was on price, and not on service continuity vulnerability. Despite an observable reduction of systemic inefficiencies in air augmented supply chain simulations, they did not want to believe that the major shipping firms, most based in Asia, and very few of those operating U.S flagged ships, would risk contract termination through denial of service.
( http://www en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Commercial_Application_of_Military_Airlift_Aircraft)
"Unfortunately, they were in denial of China's oft-stated and underreported aspiration to become the dominant economic and military power, a fact quite clear to national security strategist Dr. Sheila Ronis when commenting on fellow strategist and former U.S. Naval War College Professor Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett's New York Times bestselling book (2004) The Pentagon's New Map: War and Peace in The 21st Century saying:
"Global war begins with economic crises such as the major problems in Japan, the overheating of the China economy due to its insatiable, and now unstoppable appetite for raw material, and the continued instability within the Middle-East, compounded by the uncertainties of Iraqi War outcome. We are right now contending with macro-economic trends that are outstripping and outpacing any efforts to keep them in check. Crises not dissimilar to these in the 1930s directly led to World War II. Very similar and very dangerous. [Dr. W. Edwards] Deming once told me that Japan went to war because they thought their population was about to starve. Their backs were to the wall, and they felt they had no choice but to pursue this course in view of then existent US economic policies.
'War is often the inevitable aftermath of negative economic forces on nations, and we have to be mindful of the difficulties facing multiple nations simultaneously, now, as then. We are seeing in real-time the viability of the 'core' and 'gap' scenarios postulated by Dr. Barnett in his book… Moreover, the Chinese view the global pie as a zero sum game; their win is a loss for the US in every category of the nation's existence. However, if globalization is properly managed, the entire pie can grow. If it is not managed, that's when the industrial base could collapse. Conversely, the enemy is not globalization; it is, rather, the lack of managing it."
Global Supply Chain Vulnerability
What is obvious, Stokes further notes, is that managing globalization, with particular emphasis on the supply chain and the manufacture of goods, is not currently the strong suite of the United States. "According to learned colleagues within industry and government, this must change in the near term, if not urgently, says Stokes. "Otherwise, the country will lose any chance of regaining its dominance as shaper of the geo-political and geo-economic landscape; the direct result of historically unparalleled industrial and military might.
"It is imperative to recognize that the difficulties outlined above are not part of some distant tomorrow, but a clear and present danger. We have personal knowledge of the fact that both GM and Ford had their ocean-borne supply chains disrupted on the same day in 2004 due to a sudden unavailability of ships. In our view, that was no hiccup in the system, but a shot across the proverbial bow.
"The negative ramifications of Communist China's veritable control of ocean-borne shipping is exacerbated exponentially by its growth as a naval power capable of projecting power around the globe. Not only will they reserve the right to disrupt supply chains at whim within their territorial claims, such as the whole of the South China Sea, (note recent Chinese Sub, U.S. Destroyer John S. McCain "collision" in international waters that must be regarded as this year's version of the EP3E incident) but will resort to a military option to support that right, however unsustainable in the World Court."
Stokes, a former Newsweek, Newsweek Japan and Newsweek International industry correspondent, further says his certitude relative to China's current and future actions stems in part from access to a scenario authored by Dr. Ronis, "Battle of The South China Sea: 2011" , (originally completed in September 2006) presented in the spring of 2008 at The Hudson Institute, Washington, D.C. (http://www hudson.org/index.cfm?fuseaction=hudson_upcoming_events&id=536)
As was noted on both The Hudson Institute and the Project on National Security Reform (PNSR org) (http://www pnsr.org/web/page/668/sectionid/579/pagelevel/2/interior.asp) sites: "In this future scenario, hypothetical Chinese aggression towards Taiwan provokes a Sino-U.S. military confrontation. Initially, the technologically superior and network-centric American military is quickly devastated by the Chinese' ability to activate imbedded programming in small electronic connectors. This process effectively neutralizes the defense, attack, and navigation capabilities within every system on U.S. warships, submarines, and aircraft. Because Beijing controls two-thirds of the world's supply of these seemingly harmless connective devices, the Chinese are able to deliberately and strategically infiltrate the U.S. military and industrial base and target four of the military's primary weapons systems programs. The purpose of this scenario is to expose flaws and weaknesses within the current U.S. national security apparatus. It calls attention to potential dangers of overlooking current weaknesses in the U.S. defense industrial base and global supply chain. The text also highlights the importance of evaluating assumptions and continually assessing novel events."
An excerpt: South China Sea: 0700 Zulu. 6 May, 2011
"The US Seventh Fleet, led by the carrier USS Kitty Hawk (CV 63) has been deployed to send a strong message to China's totalitarian leadership, who are amassing troops, aircraft and vessels for what is a apparently a full scale assault against Taiwan in accordance with the provision of the 2005 Non-Secession laws. Laws specifically crafted to legally permit an invasion of this tiny nation.
"Years of preparation for such an invasion make the US-backed Taiwanese military a formidable foe, and it won't be overrun easily. Nevertheless, competence in matters military and strength of will cannot withstand parity in capability and equal strength of will plus overwhelming numerical superiority within the People's Liberation Army (PLA), Air Force (PLAAF) Navy (PLAN) and its air arm (PLANAF).
"This disturbing reality is the basis of a foregone conclusion among US DoD planners that Taiwan's fall is not a matter of if, but when. Which is exactly why the fleet was deployed the moment satellite ground imagery, growing communications traffic and human intelligence determined an attack against Taiwan was inevitable.
"The US naval, air and ground force commanders have every reason to be in a successful outcome against a quite modernized Chinese force led by the 80,500 ton Yalu-class carrier Zhu Rongji. This force will soon include a Nimitz-class carrier of 101,000 ton displacement built under the direction of both Russian and French maritime architects and engineers, and is expected to deploy a full year in advance of the new CVN-78 class super carriers scheduled for 2014, whose presence rendered moot the argument of several defense analysts that the Chinese were not interested in near-term development of a blue water force capable of slugging it out with powerful US surface fleets deployed globally. The force also includes enhanced Sovremenny-class Destroyers equipped with new carrier killing ship to ship missiles, super-quiet Victor III-based nuclear-powered and very quiet Kilo-class diesel-electric submarines, and 60-knot Hydrofoil and Catamaran Littoral Combat Vessels, all equipped with now supersonic rocket torpedoes.
"The US navy, recognizing the powerful threat represented by these Russian developed weapon systems in 2005, had worked for the past six years developing countermeasures, but even now, in 2011, the current generation weapon called Shkval (Squall) is tough to defeat.
"In a surprising twist, help to counter this threat came from none other than Vladimir Putin himself, who realized in 2007 along with everyone else in the Russian government and military, that their prolonged and profound technological and tactical assistance programs to Chinese weapons development had put Russia at risk. The years of joint exercises and the comfort level felt, at least by the Russians, relative to ideological commonality, was nothing more than a means to a very large end by the Chinese. Indeed, the otherwise distrustful Russians had forgotten a signature Sun Tzu-ism: 'Know yourself and know your enemy'".
Development of Scenario Data
"In the course of my work as a Vision Working Group Leader within the Project on National Security Reform," says Dr. Ronis, "a clear pattern began to emerge whereby China had been, and is, systematically engaging in data and technology acquisition activities designed to dramatically improve their position economically, militarily and geo-politically at levels previously underestimated. The recent prosecutions of U.S. residents with dual Chinese/American citizenry in sensitive areas of government and industry, is a mere microcosm of this decades old strategy as a whole. Indeed, China's undeniable advancement as a nation that will not be ignored, has emboldened them to continue activities that, if left unchecked, will completely damage the United States' industrial capabilities. This is because the US does not have a grand strategy for its economic viability. In fact, the US has no viable grand strategy, period; a situation we hope to ameliorate through the PNSR.
"I have, with specificity, presented my assessments of these matters in testimony before The United States China Economic and Security Review Commission," (USCC gov) Ronis further stated.
Availability of China Scenario; Theft of Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System
Academic, media and government organizations can request a copy of the full scenario through requests directly to Dr. Ronis, email@example.com. This document, according to Dr. Ronis, has been vetted at several levels of government.
Of further interest is that the scenario and support data confirms theft of the Aegis Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMD), and strongly suggests that F-22 Raptor, F-35 Lightning II and C-17, among other weapons systems, have been compromised through Chinese espionage activities.
Stokes is convinced that now is the time for logistics executives within the U.S. and partner nations to aggressively pursue permanent air augmentation of their global supply chains, adding that these activities will become systemically interlinked with BC-17/AN-124-based heavylift operations once implemented. Not only will this create a welcome increase in aircraft acquisition and upgrades, but a lifeline on which to rely in increasingly uncertain times.
"Permanent air augmentation of supply chain," says Stokes, "Is an effective means by which a repeat of an Operation Sea Lion-type blockade of a country's supply lines, such as that against Great Britain in 1940, can be effectively mitigated."
About Global HeavyLift Holdings, LLC
Founded in 2002, GHH is a strategic air transport solutions that was born of a multi-year public/private effort among forward thinkers in both the private sector and government to mitigate emerging and observable vulnerabilities in the U.S. industrial base global supply chain. Such vulnerabilities are represented by the fact that no ocean-borne shipping is in U.S. hands at present, thus potentially subjecting American corporations, especially automotive, and their global operations to the whims and perhaps economically hostile activities of and by foreign governments. Add to this the risk of terrorist activities, which have, according to the Department of Homeland Security, targeted maritime operations; i.e., ships, ports and ocean containers.
Defense Logistics Agency (DLA) listed, it is the goal of GHH and its strategic partners around the planet to work with key logistics personnel within these corporations and government agencies to conceptualize, craft and structure long-term global supply chain alternative transportation methodologies through continuous - not stop gap or emergency - air augmentation solutions. Its most important mission, however, has been in the co-development of global architecture for infrastructure of a new American controlled industry, Heavylift, utilizing the excellent airlift performance characteristics of the Boeing BC-17.
Keywords: Aegis,PNSR, Defense,Global Supply Chain,Boeing C-17,China,747-8F Industry » Aerospace
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